Expand
- Missing flags:
- Unrecognized countries:
- Image:Flag of Tamil Eelam.svg → {{TAMIL EELAM}}
- Regional organisations:
- Image:Flag of ECOWAS.svg → {{ECOWAStl}}
- Image:Flag of GCC.svg → {{GCCtl}}
- Flags don't exist yet:
- Image:Flag of Unasur.svg → {{Unasurtl}}
- Image:Flag of CEMAC.svg → {{CEMACtl}}
[edit] Regularily
- Checklist
- Juni 2008: Europaeische Rundschau (mid-Jun)
- Juli 2008: DATUM, Foreign Affairs, Aventurischer Bote, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- August 2008: Europaeische Rundschau, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- September 2008: DATUM, Current History, Foreign Affairs, Aventurischer Bote, Europaeische Rundschau, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- Oktober 2008: DATUM, Current History, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- November 2008: DATUM, Current History, Foreign Affairs, Aventurischer Bote, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- Dezember 2008: DATUM, Current History, Europaeische Rundschau, currencies, anime, Crisis Group
- Payments
- DATUM last paid in ... for ...
- Current History last paid in ... for ...
- Foreign Affairs last paid in ... for ...
- Aventurischer Bote last paid in ... for ...
- Europaeische Rundschau last paid in April 2008 for one year
- Opt-outs in the European Union: United Kingdom (euro, Schengen, police, Charter), Ireland (Schengen, police — to be reconsidered three years after Treaty of Lisbon); Denmark (euro, police, defence, de iure citizenship; referendum to be held soon), Sweden (de facto euro), Poland (Charter — to be reconsidered after ratification of the Treaty of Lisbon)
- Enlargement of the European Union:
- Stabilisation and Association Process:
- Albania: ratification ongoing since 2006-06-12; EU — FRA — DEU — GRC — PRT
- Montenegro: ratification ongoing since 2007-10-15; EU — AUT — BEL — CYP — CZE — DNK — FIN — FRA — DEU — GRC — IRE — ITA — LAT — LTU — LUX — MLT — NLD — POL — PRT — ROU — SVK — ESP — SWE — GBR
- Serbia: ratification ongoing since 2008-04-29; SRB — EU — AUT — BEL — BUL — CYP — CZE — DNK — EST — FIN — FRA — DEU — GRC — HUN — IRE — ITA — LAT — LTU — LUX — MLT — NLD — POL — PRT — ROU — SVK — SVN — ESP — SWE — GBR
- Bosnia and Herzegovina: initialled on 2007-12-04,[3] to be signed on 16 June 2008;[4] OHR to be closed after five demands (apportionment of state property, resolution of defence property, completion of the Brcko Final Award, fiscal sustainability and entrenchment of the rule of law) + two others (signing of a Stabilisation and Association Agreement with the EU and a positive assessment of the political situation in BiH by the PIC steering board) met;[5][6] BIH — EU — AUT — BEL — BUL — CYP — CZE — DNK — EST — FIN — FRA — DEU — GRC — HUN — IRE — ITA — LAT — LTU — LUX — MLT — NLD — POL — PRT — ROU — SVK — SVN — ESP — SWE — GBR
- Kosovo: consolidation of status necessary first[7]
- Treaty of Lisbon yet to be ratified by 10 member states: BEL — CYP — CZE (court challenge before Senate) — GRC — IRE — ITA — NLD — ESP — SWE — GBR (DEU and GBR face court challenge)
- Related: Union of South American Nations Constitutive Treaty yet to be ratified by 12 member states: ARG — BOL — BRA — CHI — COL — ECU — GUY — PAR — PER — SUR — URU — VEN
- Constitution, plebiscite, referendum, election, election date, electoral reform, electoral law, political party, statehood, independence.
[edit] Transitional governments
- 2008
- 2009 or later
- Possibly never
[edit] New parties
- Italy (parties, all parties, historical, factions, 16th legislature)
- 2008: Human Rights Party in Cambodia (27 Jul 2008), Alliance for a New Côte d'Ivoire in Côte d'Ivoire (by Oct 2008), Belaya Rus in Belarus (12 Oct 2008), Liberal Democratic Party in Romania (28 Nov 2008), Family Party and New Zealand Liberal Party in New Zealand (late 2008)
- 2009: Movement for Solidarity and Albanian Christian Democratic Movement in Albania (2009), Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria and Bulgarian New Democracy in Bulgaria (2009), Red in Norway (2009), Unionist Movement of the Republic of Moldova in Moldova (2009), Rally for Democracy and Progress in Namibia (2009), Labour Party in New Caledonia (2009)
- 2010: Party for Dignified Life in Czech Republic (2010), United National Front in Afghanistan (2010), Social Justice in Israel (2010, Tafnit and The Greens likely gain[11]), Communal Democracy Party in Northern Cyprus (2010), United Socialist Party of Venezuela in Venezuela (2010), lots of parties in Transnistria (Dec 2010), Proud of the Netherlands and Solidara in the Netherlands (2010)
- 2011: Sammarinese Union of Moderates in San Marino (2011), Traditional Unionist Voice in Northern Ireland (2011), Union of Social Democrats in Russia (Dec 2011)
[edit] Military operations and conflicts
- Afghanistan, War in Afghanistan: Helmand province campaign since 4 June 2006.
- Chad, Civil war in Chad
- Colombia, Colombian armed conflict: Government against ELN and FARC–EP (still has forty hostages).
- Ethiopia, insurgency in Ogaden: Ogaden National Liberation Front fighting for independence, possibly for unification with Somalia.
- Iraq, Iraq War and Civil war in Iraq: Operation Phantom Phoenix ongoing since 2008-01-08.
- Mali/ Niger: Second Tuareg Rebellion.
- Palestinian Authority, Fatah-Hamas conflict and 2007–2008 Israel-Gaza conflict.
- Philippines: Insurgency in the Philippines by Communists and Islamists.
- Russia: Second Chechen War.
- Somalia: War in Somalia (Somaliland-Puntland dispute) ongoing in 2008, also African Union Mission to Somalia. UN mission? Refoundation as a new state with or without Somaliland?
- Sri Lanka, Sri Lankan Civil War–Eelam War IV over Tamil Eelam: Operation Definite Victory ongoing since 2007-01-04, Battle of the Forward Defence Lines ongoing in the North since 2008-01-01.
- Sudanese War in Darfur: Still ongoing.
- Thailand: South Thailand insurgency by Muslim independentists.
- Uganda: Lord's Resistance Army insurgency.
[edit] Status isssues
[edit] Political issues
- Basque Country: Euskadi Ta Askatasuna is bombing again, negotiations with the government have failed. Juan José Ibarretxe plans a self-determination referendum in 2008.
- Belgium: Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde needs to be partitioned by 2011.
- Bolivia: Some departments ( Beni Department, Pando Department, Santa Cruz Department, Tarija Department; possibly also Chuquisaca Department and Cochabamba Department[15]) threatened to unilaterally adopt new constitutions declaring themselves autonomous,[16][17] which the main four did on 2007-12-17.[18] Santa Cruz held autonomy referendum on 4 May 2008, Beni and Pando held theirs on 1 June 2008, Tarija held its on 22 June 2008 (Chuquisaca + Cochabamba expected to do so?); negotiations with central government expected, with uncertain outcome.[19]
- Croatia: ICJ case will be filed to resolve territorial disputes with Slovenia[20] and Montenegro.[21][22]
- Eritrea/ Ethiopia: Disagreement regarding the border issue after the Eritrean-Ethiopian War.[23][24]
- Iraq: Borders of Iraqi Kurdistan, referendum to be held.
- Israel/ Syria: Israel might give the Golan Heights back to Syria in exchange for peace and a stop to Syrian Hezbollah support.[25][26][27]
- Italy: New European Parliament election law, new general election law, fiscal federalism and some constitutional reforms.
- Lebanon: Implementation of Doha Agreement (non-use of weapons by Hezbollah, new electoral law, unity government).[28][29]
- Macedonia: Name negotiations.
- Philippines: Government to finish talks with Moro Islamic Liberation Front. Peace treaty by August 2008?[30][31][32][33]
- Serbia: Arrest of Ratko Mladić; if not done, SAA signature and candidate status are impossible.[34][35] Radovan Karadžić also missing, as well as Goran Hadžić. Vojvodina to get a new statute of autonomy.[36][37]
- Turkey's conflict with the Kurdistan Workers Party, currently ongoing are the Turkish operations in northern Iraq. Also, a ruling on legality of both Democratic Society Party[38][39] and Justice and Development Party[40], and possibly the legalisation of Q, W and X.[41][42]
- United States: Direct election of president through National Popular Vote Interstate Compact; Military Readiness Enhancement Act to get rid of don't ask, don't tell.
[edit] Constitutional reform
- Referendum planned: Algeria (presidential term limits and length, likely in 2008), Barbados (republic), Bolivia (referendum in 2008), Denmark (change in royal succession laws to be confirmed: referendum on this issue certain,[43] referendum on opt-outs announced), Ecuador (referendum in 2008[44])
- In preparations: Cayman Islands (new constitution expected late 2008/early 2009,[45] referendum to be held[46]), Jamaica (change to republic, president to be elected by two-thirds majority in both houses[47]), Maldives (new constitution being drafted, comes into force by autumn 2008[48]), Nepal (Constituent Assembly elected in 2008 expires 2010;[49] federalism and republicanism), Solomon Islands (new republican constitution by October 2008[50] or July 2009[51]), Turkey (new constitution planned by AKP[52] for early 2008,[53] referendum in 2009[54]), Venezuela (to be tried again after 2007 referendum failed,[55] possibly recall referendum plus referendum on allowing indefinite reelection in 2010?[56]), United States Virgin Islands (constitution to be drafted until 2008-10-01[57]), Zambia (replacing a British constitution with a Zambian constitution, currently being drafted)
- Under consideration: Bermuda (independence), Bosnia and Herzegovina (constitutional reform demanded by international powers), Japan (establishment of a real defence ministry[58]), Kenya (constitutional changes according to PNU-ODM coalition agreement), Spain (royal succession[59]), Ukraine (constitutional reform, possibly wanted by both blue and orange forces,[60] signatures for the referendums have been collected[61]), Yemen (presidential terms from seven to five, parliamentary terms from six to four, women's rights and quotas, presidential system[62])
[edit] Noteworthy contributions
159753, Aldux, Alinor, Anameofmyveryown, AndrewRT, Angelo.romano, Angelo.romano (it), BanyanTree, Briaboru, CaribDigita, Checco, Checco (it), Chochopk, Chris_nelson, C mon, CrazyRepublican, Davewild, Dove1950, Electionworld, Etherialemperor, Europarliament, Everyking, Ezhiki, Free Socialist, Ganchelkas, Haukurth, Hoshie, IdiotSavant, Ingoman, Intangible2.0, JLogan, Kintetsubuffalo, Kober, Kseferovic, Lexicon, Lholden, Lilac Soul, Maartenvdbent, Magioladitis, Mais oui!, NikoSilver, Number 57, PaxEquilibrium, Petercorless, Petrovic-Njegos, Pharos, Philip Baird Shearer, Raystorm, Rebecca, Red_King, Ronline, Sijo Ripa, Soman, Ssolbergj, Švitrigaila, That-Vela-Fella, Theeuro, TheFEARgod, The Tom, Thomas.macmillan, Toussaint, Valenciano, Verrai, Warofdreams, Wiki-vr, Wiz9999, Zntrip, Zscout370; Denelson83, Ingoman, Mysid, Zscout370.
[edit] Upcoming
- ISO 3166, ISO 4217, Demokratischer Salon — Silent Pat, Benwick, Jason Bulmahn, Joshua J. Frost, James Jacobs, Mike McArtor, Erik Mona, Vic Wertz — Ende Mai/Anfang Juni Neues von Chromatrix
- 3 Canadian House vacancies, by-elections for Guelph, Saint-Lambert and Westmount—Ville-Marie to be held; Don Valley West becomes vacant on 1 July 2008. — 14 in the Senate. 40th Canadian federal election could be called early. -- economic crisis, food price crisis, subprime mortgage crisis
2008 South Africa riots, 2008 Guinean military unrest, diacritics again, Bolivia, political parties
- 11 June:
- 12, 13, 14 - 15, 16, 17, 18 - 19, 20, 21, 22 - 25, 26 - 29 June: UEFA Euro 2008.
- 12 June:
- 13—15 June: NordCon, Infos zum Donnersturmrennen-Abenteuer, Erscheinungsdatum Oktober.
- 13, 14, 15, 20, 21, 22 June; 5, 6, 7 September; 10, 11, 12 October: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualification (CAF), First Group Round.
- 14, 22 June: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualification (AFC), Third Round.
- —14 June: Assembly of the International Space Station: Next step in the ISS assembly sequence of future components of the ISS. (STS-124, Template:ISS modules)
- 14, 15, 21 June: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualification (CONCACAF), Second Round.
- 14, 15; 17, 18, 19 June; 6; 10 September; 11; 15 October; 28 March 2009; 1 April 2009; 6; 10 June 2009; 5; 9 September 2009; 10; 14 October 2009: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualification (CONMEBOL), Round 5.
- 14, 21 June, 6, 10 September, 19 November: OFC Nations Cup 2008.
- 15 June: Next peacekeeping missions set to expire. (UNFICYP)
- 15 June:
- 15/29 June: Presidential election in Anjouan.[82]
- 16 June:
- Beschluss über die Gründung einer eigenen Partei durch die SVP Graubünden, die SVP Glarus und die SVP Bern (evtl. auch die SVP Zug und die SVP Waadt).[83][84][85][86][87]
- EU foreign ministers council, SAA signature with Bosnia.[88]
- Hearing on new EU commissioners.
- 17 June: Maryland's 4th congressional district special election, 2008
- 19—20 June: EU council, Eastern Partnership and Union for the Mediterranean.
- 20 June: Duarte wants to resign as president to become senator? Who replaces him?[89]
- 22 June: Tarija autonomy referendum, 2008 in Bolivia.
- 26 June:
- 26—27 June: EU-Russia summit.[91]
- 27 June: Presidential elections second round and three by-elections in Zimbabwe.
- 28 June: Gippsland by-election, 2008 and Kororoit by-election, 2008
- 29 June: Parliamentary election in Monaco.
- 30 June—1 July: African Union summit in Sharm el Sheik.[92]
- Soon/unknown/long-term ongoing:
[edit] Unknown
- Algerian constitutional referendum, 2008, Next Australian federal election (by 2011), Next Bangladeshi presidential election, Barbadian republic referendum, Bolivian constitutional referendum, 2008, Next Danish parliamentary election and Danish Act of Succession referendum and Danish European Union opt-outs referendum (by 2011), Ecuadorian constitutional referendum, 2008, Guinean legislative election, 2008, Haitian Senate election, 2008, Ivorian parliamentary election, 2008, Mauritian presidential election, 2008, Nauruan constitutional referendum, 2008, Next Palestinian general election, Qatari legislative election, 2008, Next Welsh devolution referendum (by 2011)
- Kirkuk status referendum, 2008 by June 2008
- Canada: Nunavut general election, 2008, Prince Edward Island Progressive Conservative Party leadership election, 2009; 39th Quebec general election
- Michel Platini to reform UEFA: 24 teams instead of 16 in European Championships?[141]
- Bolivia[142] and Mexico to join Mercosur, Panama to join as an observer?[143] [144] [145]
- Chile and Venezuela to rejoin Andean Community as full members (Chile already an associate).[146][147]
- Faroe Islands to join EFTA.[148]
- Vatican City to start negotiations on joining the Schengen Agreement. [149]
- Reform of the House of Lords in the United Kingdom (?).
- Reform of the United Nations Security Council and Reform of the United Nations.
- {{Gay unions}}: Same-sex marriage in Connecticut (possible), Iceland (possible), Maine (possible), New Jersey (virtually certain), New York (certain), Sweden (certain), Vermont (virtually certain in 2009) and Washington (possible); civil unions in Oregon (passed, but delayed), Austria (certain), ACT and VIC in Australia (certain[150]), Chile (possible), Colombia (possible) and in Ireland (certain[151]); something in Illinois, Maryland, New Mexico, Rhode Island (all possible).
- Euro banknote design to be changed: Cyrillic version of "euro" (EBPO) to be added for Bulgaria, abbreviation for ECB to be added in additional languages, Cyprus to be added on the map.
- Czech Republic and Hungary to join ESA.
- Western Sahara to hold a referendum on independence.
- Palestinian Authority to become independent.
- Kosovo and Taiwan to join the UN.
- Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro and Serbia to join NATO.
- Referendum on minor changs to the constitution in Spain (changes regarding hereditary order for royalty), to be held just before the next legislative elections.
- Referendum in Hungary on introduction of €.
- Greenland to introduce their own semi-independent currency Greenlandic koruuni, similar to the Faroe Islands króna.[152]
- Canada's Next Great Prime Minister→The Next Great Leader in BBC and ZDF[153]
- International courts:
- 1 January:
- ~16 January: New Freedom in the World report.
- 18 January: Parliamentary election in El Salvador.
- —22 January: New flag of Iraq to be adopted after transitional one approved on 22 January 2008?[156][157][158]
- 15 March:
- 20 March: Peru's Memorial in ICJ case Peru-Chile.
- March:
- March/April: DOM-TOM referendum in Mayotte.
- 1 April: 2009 structural changes to local government in England[159] [160] means new unitary authorities in Bedford (Central Bedfordshire), Cheshire (City of Chester and West Cheshire and Cheshire East), Cornwall, County Durham, Exeter, Ipswich, Northumberland, Shropshire, Wiltshire.
- 5 April: Parliamentary elections in Indonesia.
- 29 April: Ecuador's Memorial in ICJ case Ecuador-Colombia.
- April: 2009 Strasbourg and Kehl summit/21st NATO summit[161]
- 3 May: General election in Panama.
- 12 May:
- 12/14/16 May: Eurovision Song Contest 2009
- 23 May: Presidential election in Germany.
- May: United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf decision on Rockall.
- 4-7 June: European Parliament election, 2009 in the European Union.
- 5 June: DR Congo's Rejoinder in ICJ case Guinea-DR Congo.
- 14 June:
- 14 September: Parliamentary election in Norway.
- ~29 September: Rhodri Morgan steps down as First Minister of Wales.[162][163]
- 30 September: .yu disappears.
- 2 October: Decision on 2016 Olympics Games.[164]
- 25 October: Presidential and parliamentary elections in Uruguay.
- November: New York City mayoral election, 2009.
- 2 November: Gubernatorial elections in the United States.
- 1 December: West African Monetary Zone to introduce Eco.
- 11 December: Presidential election in Chile.
- Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting 2009 in Trinidad and Tobago: New members to be admitted after review of the Commonwealth of Nations membership criteria. (applied: Algeria, Madagascar, Rwanda, Sudan, Yemen; interested: Israel, Palestinian Authority;[165] possibly also Angola, Cambodia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Timor-Leste)
- International Criminal Court Review Conference
- East African Community to introduce East African shilling.
- Croatia to join European Union.
- Afghan presidential election, 2009, Angolan presidential election, 2009, Chadian parliamentary election, 2009, Democratic Republic of the Congo gubernatorial elections, 2009, Fijian general election, 2009, Indian general election, 2009, Indonesian presidential election, 2009, Iraqi legislative election, 2009, Iranian presidential election, 2009, Japanese general election, 2009, Lebanese general election, 2009, Montenegrin parliamentary election, 2009, Namibian presidential election, 2009, Slovak presidential election, 2009, South African general election, 2009, Sudanese general election, 2009
- Landtagswahlen Carinthia, Upper Austria, Salzburg and Vorarlberg, Gemeinderatswahlen Carinthia, Upper Austria and Salzburg.
- Elections in Germany (17th) and Romania (Romanian presidential election, 2009), next chance for rightists to fall.
- Next United Kingdom general election?
- Confederations Cup 2009
- Kreisreform Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2009
- Timor-Leste to join Association of Southeast Asian Nations.
- Australia to hold second referendum on becoming a republic?
- Hungary to introduce € (probable).
- Referendum in Poland on introduction of €.
- Landtagswahlen Burgenland, Styria and Vienna, Gemeinderatswahlen Lower Austria (without Sankt Pölten), Styria (without Graz), Tyrol (without Innsbruck) and Vorarlberg, Bundespräsidentenwahl, Wirtschaftskammerwahl.
- Elections in Czech Republic (?) and Latvia, next chance for rightists to fall.
- 2010 FIFA World Cup.
- Faroese constitutional referendum, 2010
- Burmese general election, 2010, → with New Burmese Constitution
- Brazilian general election, 2010
- Equatorial Guinean presidential election, 2010
- Next South Australian general election
- Democratic reforms in Tonga to change seat distribution (common/nobles'/appointed) from 9/9/12 to 17/9/4.[167]
- COMESA to introduce a common currency.
[edit] Issues
[edit] Currencies
-
[edit] Other currency unions
[edit] Remainder
[edit] Regional bloc accession/membership
-
-
-
- Association of Southeast Asian Nations: Timor-Leste (applied 2006)[176]
- Caribbean Community: Dominican Republic
- East African Community: Somalia,[177] Sudan[178]
- ESA:
- Czech Republic (joined PECS in November 2003, to join 2008)
- Hungary (joined PECS in April 2003, to join 2008)
- Romania (joined PECS in February 2006, to join 2011?)
- Poland (joined PECS in April 2006, to join 2011?)
- Bulgaria, Cyprus, Estonia, Malta, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovakia, Slovenia (matter of time)
- Community of Democratic Choice: possibly Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Sweden
- European Union:
- Croatia, Turkey (in negotiations)
- Macedonia (candidate)
- Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, Serbia (after concluding SAA negotiations; certain)
- Cape Verde, Moldova, Ukraine (stated goal of governments)
- Faroe Islands (not entirely impossible),[179] Iceland (to be discussed by 2010), Norway (to be discussed after 2009 elections?), Switzerland (currently pursuing "bilateral way"; other possibilities exist[180]) (matter of time)
- Andorra (Social Democratic Party in favour, last elections 2005, next 2009),[181] San Marino (Popular Alliance in favour, last elections 2006, next 2011)[182] (possible)
- Liechtenstein, Monaco, Vatican City (questionable)
- Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf: Yemen (in 2016?)
- NATO:
- OECD: Numerous countries.
- In membership talks:[186] Chile, Estonia, Israel, Russia, Slovenia.
- "Enhanced engagement":[187] Brazil, People's Republic of China, India, Indonesia, South Africa
- European Union members: Malta applied to join 24 September 2005; Cyprus,[188] Latvia, Lithuania likely to join.
- OPEC: Possibly Bolivia, Mexico, Sudan, Syria;[189] maybe Kazakhstan and Russia.[190] [191]
- Schengen treaty:
- UNO: Kosovo, Taiwan
- WEU: non-full-member states; could also be abolished in favour of a new defence concept.
- United States Visa Waiver Program: Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia
- WTO: 46 countries
[edit] Status changes
-
-
- Further information: list of disputed or occupied territories
[edit] Internal status changes
- France…
- …to decide status of eight overseas departments and territories (Mayotte → département with 2009 referendum; French Polynesia and New Caledonia → independence; French Southern and Antarctic Lands, Saint Barthelemy, Saint Martin, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Wallis and Futuna → unknown).
- …to decide on establishment of Département Pays Basque, to secede from Département Pyrénées-Atlantiques at some point in the future. Attempt to gather 45,000 signatures to force a referendum failed in October 2006.[192]
- …to make Mayotte a DOM/ROM in 2011 (and thereby part of the EU).[193]
- Netherlands are continuously reducing the number of municipalities.
- Philippines to resolve Bangsamoro issue: Moro Islamic Liberation Front has been fighting for more autonomy or independence for decades.
- Russia to reduce number of federal subjects from 83 to between 40 and 50.
- United Kingdom to decide status of twelve overseas territories, the Sovereign Base Areas on Cyprus and three crown dependencies (technically not even part of the UK, but of the British Crown).
- United Kingdom to grant status of home nation to Cornwall.
- United States territories of Puerto Rico (discussion ongoing) and New Columbia to become the 51st and 52nd states, Guam to become a commonwealth (procedural problems mostly[197]). Also to get out of Guantanamo Bay Naval Base.
- Australian Northern Territory to become a state.[198]
- Canada: Proposals for new Canadian provinces and territories.
- Tokelau rejected free association with New Zealand in a referendum in February 2006 and in another one in October 2007 (a majority of around 60% was in favour, but not the required supermajority of 66.6%). Will be voted on again in the future.[199] (Had the result been in favour, a new flag (and anthem and symbol) would have been adopted.)[200] [201] [202]
- Cook Islands and Niue could become factually independent from New Zealand any time they wish by joining the United Nations as Palau, the Marshall Islands and the Federated States of Micronesia did.
- South Tyrol could still change from Italy to Austria, or even become independent.[203] Austro-Tyroleans are in favour.[204]
- Southern Schleswig could be returned from Germany to Denmark due to its Danish minority.[205]
- Sudan likely to be restructured: independence referendum in Southern Sudan in 2011 plus referenda in border regions according to Comprehensive Peace Agreement; North Sudan to be restructured by the end of 2007 after East Sudan Peace Agreement with Eastern Front in Al Qadarif, Kassala and Red Sea; Darfur Peace Agreement to be enforced and possibly renegotiated, with a referendum on amalgamation to be held in July 2010.
- Denmark Rigsfællesskabet to break apart in the long run.
- Netherlands Kingdom of the Netherlands to break apart in the long run?
[edit] Secession
[edit] Will secede (or at least hold a referendum)
[edit] Certainly wants to secede
- French Polynesia is actively working towards independence from France; President Oscar Temaru in his September 14, 2007 election speech indicated he wanted a referendum on independence within 20 years.
- For Kashmir, independence may be the only long-term option in its position between India, Pakistan and People's Republic of China. Musharraf might be willing to talk about it.[206]
- Nevis actively working towards independence from Saint Kitts and Nevis, referendum to be held. Already held a referendum in 1998, which failed to pass although more than 60% were in favour, since 66.6% were required.
- Patani Raya striving for secession from Thailand.
- Palestinian Authority to become independent from Israel, consisting of the Gaza Strip and the West Bank; Israel will have to pull out of the West Bank first; reconstruction in the Gaza Strip is currently starting. (ISO code exists.)
- Republika Srpska wants to secede from the Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina ever since Montenegro's secession from its State Union with Serbia; might hold a referendum at some point.
- Inner Mongolia, Tibet and Uyghuristan/East Turkestan to gain freedom from People's Republic of China sooner or later.
- Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic to hold a referendum on independence from Morocco... hopefully. Morocco has been less than forthcoming, however. Western Sahara enjoys support from Algeria and Spain, among others. (ISO code exists.)
[edit] Could secede, insufficient support
[edit] Unification/Breakup
- If Federal Republic of China does not come into being, a breakup of People's Republic of China is likely.
- Russia is likely to lose some of its more autonomist regions over the next decades, particularily in the North Caucasus and in Siberia.[209]
- Interesting ideas for reshaping the Middle East:
- http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2006/06/1833899/ and http://www.godb.org/Documents/CDL-World/Better-ME-Peters06.htm (Free Kurdistan, Free Baluchistan, Sunni Iraq, Arab Shia State, Saudi Homelands Independent Territories, Islamic Sacred State)
- http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200801/goldberg-mideast (Kurdistan, Islamic Emirate of Gaza, Shiite Islamic State of Iraq, Sunni Republic of Iraq, Alawite Republic, Khuzistan, Pashtunistan, Baluchistan, Bedouin Autonomous Zone of the Sinai, Druzistan)
[edit] Democratization and related issues
-
-
-
-
-
- 106 states to abolish death penalty.
- 88 – 141 states to ratify Rome Statute and APIC.
- (MAP) Lots of states to abolish conscription, most notably Austria, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany,[210][211] Greece, Lithuania and Sweden (possibly by 2010?[212]) in the European Union. Plans to abolish it in Ukraine at some point, Georgia by 2009, Albania by 2010[213] and Poland before 2012.[214] Source: http://www.wri-irg.org/co/rtba/
- All but five states to allow same-sex marriage.
- Liberia and Myanmar likely to metricate once democracy has fully returned, United Kingdom (Metrication in the United Kingdom) and United States (Metrication in the United States) likely to take their time (though the UK *has* to, according to Union law).
[edit] Disputes and conflicts
- Armenia and Azerbaijan to resolve dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh.
- Belize and Guatemala to resolve conflict over the Belizean territory.
- Bolivia and Chile to resolve conflict over Bolivia's sea access.
- Colombia to resolve civil war with ELN and FARC-EP.
- Côte d'Ivoire to resolve civil war with northern rebels.
- Eastern European Union to improve human rights situation for Roma, e. g. through the Decade of Roma Inclusion.
- Indonesia to finally let go of West Papua, as well as implement the autonomy agreement for Aceh.
- Macedonia to resolve naming dispute with Greece.
- Russia to resolve civil war in Chechnya.
- Senegal to resolve conflict over independence of Casamance.
- Spain to resolve the ambitions of its autonomous communities:
- Historical communities: Andalucía, the Basque Country (38 to 31 in favour?![215]), Catalonia and Galicia demand more autonomy or independence. The Basque Country might attain independence ( Basque Country and Navarre in Spain, parts of the département Pyrénées Atlantiques in France). The Catalan Countries might also succeed with this endeavour ( Balearic Islands, Catalonia, La Franja (eastern part of Aragon) and Valencia in Spain, Andorra, Northern Catalonia (part of the département Pyrénées-Orientales) in France). Galicians might also favour to merge with Portugal.
- New statutes for Aragon, Balearic Islands and Castile–La Mancha (to be passed as law soon), Valencia.
- Autonomous communities which want to declare themselves comunidades históricas: Aragon,[216] Asturias,[217] Balearic Islands,[218] Canary Islands,[219] Castile and León,[220] Valencia[221]
- Cantabria, Castile–La Mancha, Extremadura, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia and Navarre don't have plans to declare themselves as a comunidad histórica yet.
- Sudan to resolve civil war in Darfur.
- Turkey to resolve Armenian Genocide, Assyrian Genocide and Pontic Greek Genocide issues, as well as the rights of Alevis.
- Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey to resolve conflict over Kurdistan issue: Rebels have been fighting in eastern Turkey for an independent Kurdistan for decades, and the Kurdish Autonomous Region in northern Iraq might break away.
- Uganda to resolve civil war in the north with Lord's Resistance Army.
[edit] Monarchism
[edit] Commonwealth Realms
[edit] Monarchies
- Constitutional monarchies:
- Equal primogeniture: Belgium (×), Netherlands (×), Norway (×), Sweden (×)
- Male primogeniture: Bhutan (×), Denmark (×, to be changed), Spain (×, to be changed), United Kingdom (×, could be changed), Thailand (×)
- Salic law: Japan (×, could still be changed?), Luxembourg (×)
- Special cases: Andorra (/×/, co-principality), Cambodia (×, appointed by Throne Council), Lesotho (×, appointed by the College of Chiefs), Malaysia (×, elective monarchy with fixed order of rotation for five-year terms)
- Semi-constitutional monarchies:
- Absolute monarchies:
[edit] Flag changes
- National level:
- Angola (proposal exists since 2003, not yet ratified; after general election in 2008/9?)
- Australia (repeatedly discussed; still uses blue ensign)
- Cook Islands (not discussed yet, but still uses blue ensign)
- Fiji (currently under discussion; proposal to include the whole Coat of Arms made by Great Council of Chiefs; still uses blue ensign)
- Iraq (transitional flag approved on 22 January 2008, new flag to be adopted within a year)
- Mozambique (RENAMO still wants to change the flag, which it considers to be too closely related to the FRELIMO flag)
- New Caledonia (lacks own flag, officially uses , inofficially uses )
- New Zealand (repeatedly discussed; still uses blue ensign)
- Niue (not discussed yet, but still uses yellow ensign)
- Northern Ireland (new flag might be designed after reestablishment of the Northern Ireland Assembly)
- Tokelau (not discussed yet, but still uses officially, inofficially uses )
- Tuvalu (not discussed yet, but still uses blue ensign).
- Subnational entities still using blue or red ensigns:
[edit] Austrian politics, public transport in Vienna, electoral reform
-
- Proporz to be abolished in Lower Austria, Burgenland (goal of all parties except ÖVP), Styria (soon?), Carinthia, Upper Austria, and to be factually abolished in Vienna.
- SPÖ to take Carinthia (almost certain after the split of FPÖ and BZÖ), Upper Austria (possible with the right candidate), Lower Austria, Tyrol and Vorarlberg (highly unlikely).
- Civil union and same-sex marriage to be legalized in Austria.
- Studiengebühren to be abolished, or university and education budgets to be increased.
- Better immigration policy.
- Smoking restrictions.[232]
- Abolishing conscription.[233]
- Legalising abortion de iure, and not only de facto.
- Carinthia to finally put up the bilingual town signs, Enotna Lista finally to have electoral success.
- Vienna's Bezirksvertretungen:
- 1., Innere Stadt — swing needed to go from ÖVP to SPÖ: 6.74%
- 2005: ÖVP 43.32%, SPÖ 29.84%
- 2001: ÖVP 33.11%, SPÖ 25.64%
- 1996: ÖVP 38.21%, SPÖ 18.90%
- 4., Wieden — swing needed to go from ÖVP to SPÖ: 0.47%; from ÖVP to Grüne: 1.08%
- 2005: ÖVP 30.28%, SPÖ 29.35%, Grüne 28.13%
- 2001: ÖVP 30.11%, SPÖ 28.70%, Grüne 22.10%
- 1996: ÖVP 34.89%, SPÖ 24.14%, Grüne 12.74%
- 6., Mariahilf — swing needed to go from SPÖ to Grüne: 3.29%
- 2005: SPÖ 35.55%, Grüne 28.97%, ÖVP 25.40%
- 2001: SPÖ 30.66%, ÖVP 25.70%, Grüne 24.91%
- 1996: ÖVP 34.21%, SPÖ 24.11%, Grüne 14.99%
- 9., Alsergrund — swing needed to go from SPÖ to Grüne: 2.19%
- 2005: SPÖ 33.81%, Grüne 29.43%, ÖVP 25.52%
- 2001: SPÖ 32.50%, ÖVP 26.03%, Grüne 21.23%
- 1996: SPÖ 27.80%, ÖVP 26.83%, Grüne 14.58%
- 13., Hietzing — swing needed to go from ÖVP to SPÖ: 3.06%
- 2005: ÖVP 39.50%, SPÖ 33.38%
- 2001: ÖVP 36.65%, SPÖ 31.65%
- 1996: ÖVP 38.57%, SPÖ 29.02%
- 18., Währing — swing needed to go from ÖVP to SPÖ: 2.23%
- 2005: ÖVP 34.85%, SPÖ 30.40%
- 2001: ÖVP 32.13%, SPÖ 28.36%
- 1996: ÖVP 32.87%, SPÖ 24.65%
- 19., Döbling — swing needed to go from ÖVP to SPÖ: 3.18%
- 2005: ÖVP 40.67%, SPÖ 34.31%
- 2001: ÖVP 36.54%, SPÖ 32.61%
- 1996: ÖVP 37.31%, SPÖ 28.17%
- Electoral reform in Canada:
- Federal: FPTP
- British Columbia: FPTP, BC-STV almost approved in 2005 referendum (58% approval, 60% needed), another referendum on BC-STV in 2009
- Prince Edward Island: FPTP, MMP rejected in 2005 referendum (38% approval)
- Ontario: FPTP, MMP rejected in 2007 referendum (36.8% approval)
- New Brunswick: FPTP, MMP referendum in 2008 was cancelled
- Alberta, Manitoba, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Quebec, Saskatchewan, Yukon: FPTP
- Nunavut, Northwest Territories: FPTP non-partisan
[edit] Miscellaneous
-
[edit] References
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- ^ http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/article.php?enewsid=89355
- ^ http://www.javno.com/en/world/clanak.php?id=115099
- ^ http://www.earthtimes.org/articles/show/154263.html
- ^ http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90777/6337027.html
- ^ http://www.virginislandsdailynews.com/index.pl/article_home?id=17616137
- ^ http://www.hamiltonspectator.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=hamilton/Layout/...
- ^ http://people.monstersandcritics.com/royalwatch/article_1205115.php/Royal_pregnancy_poses_political_dilemma_for_Spain
- ^ http://voanews.com/english/2007-08-25-voa20.cfm
- ^ http://www2.pravda.com.ua/en/news/2007/9/25/8987.htm
- ^ http://yementimes.com/article.shtml?i=1144&p=view&a=1
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- ^ http://www.pacificislands.cc/pina/pinadefault2.php?urlpinaid=20364
- ^ http://www.tmcnet.com/usubmit/-outgoing-tokelau-boss-keen-new-referendum-/2006/02/16/1380408.htm
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