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User:UKPhoenix79/2006 World Cup - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

User:UKPhoenix79/2006 World Cup

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I'm going to edit the Main group to keep up with the current teams in the world cup. If you want to see my original prediction where you can see what would happen if England came in second in Group B just see my Original Prediction.

Contents

[edit] Who England Must Beat in the 2006 FIFA World Cup

To show what predictions are correct I have placed symbols next to each team after the final result is known. These symbols are to show if I was correct in my predictin of who was going to make it past the previous stage.

  • - I was correct in my prediction on who would make it to this point.
  • - In the group stage I predicted the correct winners but I was incorrect on how they would place.
  • - I was incorrect in my prediction on who would make it to this point.
Group Stage Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final
                                     
  24 June - Munich            
A Costa Rica Ecuador Germany Poland 1st   Germany: win vs Ecuador Germany  
  30 June - Berlin
B England Paraguay Sweden Trinidad and Tobago 2nd   Sweden: draw vs England or loss vs England + Trinidad and Tobago draw or loss vs Paraguay Sweden    
    Germany: win vs Sweden Germany  
24 June - Leipzig
    Argentina Argentina    
C Argentina Côte d'Ivoire Netherlands Serbia and Montenegro 1st   Argentina: win or draw vs the Netherlands Argentina  
  4 July - Dortmund
D Angola Iran Mexico Portugal 2nd   Mexico Mexico    
    Germany Germany  
26 June - Kaiserslautern
    Italy Italy    
E Czech Republic Ghana Italy United States 1st   Italy: win vs Czech Republic or draw vs Czech Republic + USA beats Ghana Italy  
  30 June - Hamburg
F Australia Brazil Croatia Japan 2nd   Australia Australia    
    Italy Italy  
26 June - Cologne
    Ukraine Ukraine    
G France South Korea Switzerland Togo 1st   Switzerland Switzerland  
  9 July - Berlin
H Saudi Arabia Spain Tunisia Ukraine 2nd   Ukraine Ukraine    
    Italy Italy  
25 June - Stuttgart
    France France  
B England Paraguay Sweden Trinidad and Tobago 1st   England: loss vs Sweden England  
  1 July - Gelsenkirchen
A Costa Rica Ecuador Germany Poland 2nd   Ecuador: loss vs Germany Ecuador    
    England England  
25 June - Nuremberg
    Portugal    
D Angola Iran Mexico Portugal 1st   Portugal: win or draw vs. Mexico Portugal  
  5 July - Munich
C Argentina Côte d'Ivoire Netherlands Serbia and Montenegro 2nd   Netherlands: draw or loss vs Argentina Netherlands    
    Portugal  
27 June - Dortmund
    France France     Third place
F Australia Brazil Croatia Japan 1st   Brazil: win or draw vs. Japan Brazil  
  1 July - Frankfurt 8 July - Stuttgart
E Czech Republic Ghana Italy United States 2nd   Ghana Ghana    
    Brazil Brazil     Germany Germany  
27 June - Hannover
    France France       Portugal  
H Saudi Arabia Spain Tunisia Ukraine 1st   Spain Spain  
 
G France South Korea Switzerland Togo 2nd   France: big win vs Togo + South Korea draw vs Switzerland France    
 

[edit] Reasons for my Predictions

My main focus was on the odds on favorites and how they will meet each other.

[edit] World Cup betting odds

[edit] Pre-Cup odds

Here are some other odds that whent out before the start of the world cup on who will get to the final!

It would be astounding if anyone bothers to bet on USA v Iran... What a payoff if it happens!

[edit] The odds as of June 16th 2006

source

[edit] The odds as of June 26th 2006

Ouch, the odds are drifting away for England to win the world cup. I think this is because we have to face Brazil before the final to make it. Lets hope that England can pull its all star weight and meld into a unified team to confront the upcoming nemesis.

  • 3.75 Brazil
  • 4.30 Argentina
  • 6.50 Germany
  • 6.50 England
  • 7.00 Italy
  • 11.0 Spain
  • 15.0 Portugal
  • 21.0 France
  • 41.0 Ukraine
  • 151. Ghana

source

[edit] The odds as of June 30th 2006

  • 3.00 Germany
  • 3.25 Brazil
  • 4.50 Italy
  • 7.50 England
  • 11.0 France
  • 15.0 Portugal

source

[edit] Status of my Predictions

[edit] Minor Group winners

I think there might be some minor differences with minor groups like Groups D, E, H or who gets second to Brazil in Group F.

But what would astound me is if Brazil comes in second in Group F... Then that would leave England clear to dominate and get to the finals without major opposition! But for that to happen Brazil would have to loose by 2 against Japan allowing Australia get the 1st place in Group F. So I highly doubt that his will happen.

[edit] England Won Group B

Was it a good idea that England won its set?

If you believe that England is the superior to Germany and Argentina and the only real team to fear in the world cup is Brazil then the English team made a mistake and should have lost to Sweden to guarantee a Finals match between England and Brazil.

Yet getting second place could have been disastrous since we would have had to face Germany & Argentina back to back, and after facing them the possibilities of injuries would diminish the chances of a win against Brazil. Yet there was a bonus of a slight pause at the Semi-Finals where people with a Red card could still play the Final and anyone with a Yellow card could skip the match to have a clean slate for the final.

But getting first place in Group B has the advantage of two relatively easy games before an all but guaranteed Semi-Finals match between England and Brazil. A nail biter if I can think of one!

In the End it came down to a decision between:

  • two hard games (GermanyArgentina); followed by a relatively easy game (Italy); then a really hard game (Brazil).
  • two relatively easy games (EcuadorNetherlands); a really hard game (Brazil); followed by a hard game (Argentina).

Only time will tell if the right call was made

[edit] Second place winners in Groups E & F

Firstly as I stated earlier there would probably be some changes to some minor groups & who would come in second to Brazil.

Well I predicted that the second place winners would be the Czech Republic for Group E & Croatia for Group F and not surprisingly I was wrong with Group F and Australia came in second to Brazil.

But I must say that I didn't consider for Group E that the Czech's would have to beat Italy to place second. It was a bit of an oversight since Ghana had a better chance of beating America then the Czech's had at beating Italy and that would have been a very hard thing to do. So the only reasonable country to get second place was Ghana. So Italy placed first and Ghana came in second in Group E.

Oh well, I guess we'll see if there is a change in my prediction for Group G soon.

[edit] Original Prediction

Group Stage Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final
                                     
  24 June - Munich            
A Costa Rica Ecuador Germany Poland 1st   Germany: win vs Ecuador  
  30 June - Berlin
B England Paraguay Sweden Trinidad and Tobago 2nd   Sweden: draw vs England or loss vs England + Trinidad and Tobago draw or loss vs Paraguay or England: loss vs Sweden    
    Germany: win vs Sweden or England: win vs germany  
24 June - Leipzig
    Argentina    
C Argentina Côte d'Ivoire Netherlands Serbia and Montenegro 1st   Argentina: win or draw vs the Netherlands  
  4 July - Dortmund
D Angola Iran Mexico Portugal 2nd   Mexico    
    win vs germany or win vs Argentina  
26 June - Kaiserslautern
    Italy    
E Czech Republic Ghana Italy United States 1st   Italy: win vs Czech Republic or draw vs Czech Republic + USA beats Ghana  
  30 June - Hamburg
F Australia Brazil Croatia Japan 2nd   Croatia    
    Italy  
26 June - Cologne
    France    
G France South Korea Switzerland Togo 1st   France: big win vs Togo + South Korea draw vs Switzerland  
  9 July - Berlin
H Saudi Arabia Spain Tunisia Ukraine 2nd   Ukraine    
    Argentina or England  
25 June - Stuttgart
    England or Brazil  
B England Paraguay Sweden Trinidad and Tobago 1st   England: loss vs Sweden or Sweden: win vs England  
  1 July - Gelsenkirchen
A Costa Rica Ecuador Germany Poland 2nd   Ecuador: loss vs Germany    
    England or Sweden  
25 June - Nuremberg
    Netherlands    
D Angola Iran Mexico Portugal 1st   Portugal: win or draw vs. Mexico  
  5 July - Munich
C Argentina Côte d'Ivoire Netherlands Serbia and Montenegro 2nd   Netherlands: draw or loss vs Argentina    
    England or Netherlands  
27 June - Dortmund
    Brazil     Third place
F Australia Brazil Croatia Japan 1st   Brazil: win or draw vs. Japan  
  1 July - Frankfurt 8 July - Stuttgart
E Czech Republic Ghana Italy United States 2nd   Czech Republic    
    Brazil     Argentina or Italy  
27 June - Hannover
    Spain       Brazil or Netherlands  
H Saudi Arabia Spain Tunisia Ukraine 1st   Spain  
 
G France South Korea Switzerland Togo 2nd   Switzerland    
 


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