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Score test - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Score test

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

A score test is a statistical test of a simple null hypothesis that a parameter of interest θ is equal to some particular value θ0. It is the most powerful test when the true value of θ is close to θ0.

Contents

[edit] Single parameter test

[edit] The statistic

Let L be the likelihood function which depends on a univariate parameter θ and let x be the data. The score is U(θ) where


U(\theta)=\frac{\partial \log L(\theta | x)}{\partial \theta}.

The Fisher information is,


I(\theta) = -\frac{\partial^2 \log L(\theta | x)}{\partial \theta^2}.

The statistic to test H0:θ = θ0 is


\frac{U(\theta_0)^2}{I(\theta_0)}

which takes a \chi^2_1 distribution asymptotically when H0 is true.

[edit] Justification


[edit] The case of a likelihood with nuisance parameters


[edit] As most powerful test for small deviations


\left(\frac{\partial \log L(\theta | x)}{\partial \theta}\right)_{\theta=\theta_0} \geq C

Where L is the likelihood function, θ0 is the value of the parameter of interest under the null hypothesis, and C is a constant set depending on the size of the test desired (i.e. the probability of rejecting H0 if H0 is true; see Type I error).

The score test is the most powerful test for small deviations from H0. To see this, consider testing θ = θ0 versus θ = θ0 + h. By the Neyman-Pearson lemma, the most powerful test has the form


\frac{L(\theta_0+h|x)}{L(\theta_0|x)} \geq K;

Taking the log of both sides yields


\log L(\theta_0 + h | x ) - \log L(\theta_0|x) \geq \log K.

The score test follows making the substitution


\log L(\theta_0+h|x) \approx \log L(\theta_0|x) + h\times 
\left(\frac{\partial \log L(\theta | x)}{\partial \theta}\right)_{\theta=\theta_0}

and identifying the C above with log(K).

[edit] Relationship with Wald test


[edit] Multiple parameters

A more general score test can be derived when there is more than one parameter. Suppose that \hat{\theta}_0 is the Maximum Likelihood estimate of θ under the null hypothesis H0. Then


U'(\hat{\theta}_0) I^{-1}(\hat{\theta}_0) U(\hat{\theta}_0) \sim \chi^2_k

asymptotically under H0, where k is the number of constraints imposed by the null hypothesis and


U(\hat{\theta}_0) = \frac{\partial \log L(\hat{\theta}_0 | x)}{\partial \theta}

and


I(\hat{\theta}_0) = -\frac{\partial^2 \log L(\hat{\theta}_0 | x)}{\partial \theta \partial \theta'}.

This can be used to test H0.

[edit] See also


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