Opinion polling for the 2004 Canadian election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Note: the Bloc Québécois runs candidates only in Québec, so its Canada-wide poll percentage is not very meaningful. Therefore the relevant poll numbers isolated for Québec only are also shown, if available.

• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-25) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 30% (+2), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 12% (+3), Green 4% (+1)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-25): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
• SES Research regional breakdown (2004-June-24) (earlier results at [1])
  • Atlantic: Liberals 45%, NDP 25%, Conservatives 24%, Green 4%, BQ 2%
  • Quebec: BQ 51%, Liberals 28%, Conservatives 11%, NDP 7%, Green 3%
  • Ontario: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 32%, NDP 25%, Green 4%, BQ 1%
  • Manitoba and Saskatchewan: Liberals 39%, Conservatives 34%, NDP 24%, Green 2%, BQ 1%
  • Alberta: Conservatives 62%, Liberals 23%, NDP 13%, Green 2%
  • British Columbia: Conservatives 38%, Liberals 28%, NDP 28%, Green 6%
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-18) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Liberals 34% (-7), Conservatives 29% (+1), NDP 22% (+4), BQ 10% (+1), Green 5% (+2)
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-16) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 19% (+1), BQ 12% (+1), Green 3% (0)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-15): Liberal 31%, Conservative 32%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 6%
• SES Research nightly tracking poll (2004-June-7) (changes from first day, 2004-May-25, listed in parentheses): Conservatives 34% (+6), Liberals 32% (-9), NDP 20% (+2), BQ 11% (0), Green 4% (+1)
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-June-4): Liberal 32%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%, Green 6%
  • Quebec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 28%
  • Ontario only: Conservative 35%, Liberal 32%, NDP 23% (first poll showing Conservatives in front in Ontario since 1985)
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-June-2): Liberal 35%, Conservative 30%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 5%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-31): Liberal 34%, Conservative 30%, NDP 16%, BQ 12%
  • Quebec only: BQ 44%, Liberal 29%
  • Ontario only: Liberal 36%, Conservative 36%
• Ekos poll (2004-May-30): Liberal 38%, Conservative 30%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-22): Liberal 35%, Conservative 26%, NDP 18%, BQ 12%
  • Quebec only: BQ 50%, Liberal 28%, NDP 8%, Conservative 7%
• COMPAS poll (2004-May-15 to 2004-May-19): Liberal 39%, Conservative 31%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%
  • Québec only: BQ 43%, Liberal 40%, NDP 9%, Conservative 7%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-May-7): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 10%
  • Québec only: BQ 41%, Liberal 36%
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-Apr-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 17%, BQ 12%, Green 4%
  • Québec only [2]: BQ 46%, Liberal 34%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%, Green 3%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-26 –Apr-28) Liberal 40%, Conservative 23%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%, Green 5%
  • Québec only: BQ 46%, Liberal 33%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
• Environics poll (2004-Mar-29 – 2004-Apr-18): Liberal 39%, Conservative 29%, NDP 19%, BQ 11%
  • Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 37%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%
• Ipsos-Reid poll (2004-Apr-06 – 2004-Apr-08): Liberal 35%, Conservative 28%, NDP 18%, BQ 10%, Green 5%
  • Québec only: BQ 45%, Liberal 30%, Conservative 11%, NDP 10%
• Leger Marketing poll (2004-Mar-28): Liberal 38%, Conservative 26%, NDP 16%, BQ 13%
  • Québec only [3]: BQ 45%, Liberal 36%, Conservative 8%, NDP 8%

Source: http://www.canadawebpages.com/pc-polls.asp

• TrendLines Riding Projections (2004, 2006 & 2007)