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Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007 was held on November 6, 2007. In this election, incumbent Republican Governor Ernie Fletcher lost to Democratic challenger Steve Beshear, who will therefore serve as Governor of Kentucky from December 2007 through December 2011. Beshear's running mate, Daniel Mongiardo, will serve as Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky for that same time period.

A Primary Election to determine the Republican and Democratic nominees for governor was held on May 22, 2007 in which Ernie Fletcher (Republican) and Steve Beshear (Democrat) won their respective primaries[1].

Contents

[edit] Background

Fletcher came under increasing criticism from both parties after his involvement in a state employee hiring controversy, in which Fletcher was accused of illegally hiring civil service employees for their political affiliations and loyalties. An investigation by the Attorney General of Kentucky and a special grand jury led to the indictment of 13 Fletcher administration officials. Fletcher issued a blanket pardon for anyone in his administration (other than himself) who was or may have been involved in the scandal. Fletcher himself was later indicted by a grand jury for three misdemeanors: conspiracy, official misconduct and political discrimination. All were related to the merit system investigation. On August 24, 2006, Fletcher reached a deal with the Attorney General's office that led to the dismissal of the charges in exchange for Fletcher's acknowledgment that "the evidence strongly indicates wrongdoing by his administration with regard to personnel actions within the merit system. Further, the governor hereby states that these actions were inappropriate and that he regrets their occurrence and accepts responsibility for them as head of the executive branch of state government." (See Ernie Fletcher: Merit system investigation) Fletcher's approval rating as of May 11, 2007 was at 38% [3], putting him among the lowest governors in the nation.

Anne Northup, who was defeated for reelection to the House of Representatives in 2006, and Paducah businessman Billy Harper challenged Fletcher in the Republican primary. Both had supported and worked for Fletcher's 2003 campaign. Despite his troubles, Fletcher was able to fend off the primary challenge, winning a majority of the vote (see below).

On the Democratic side, an increasingly competitive primary campaign developed. Louisville businessman Bruce Lunsford spent over five million dollars, most of it being his own money, in the campaign. On May 7, Jonathan Miller withdrew from the race and endorsed Steve Beshear. Lunsford, Beshear, State House Speaker Jody Richards, and former Lt. Governor Steve Henry consistently polled significantly ahead of the other candidates. Given the crowded field, many believed a runoff election was likely between the top two finishers--which polls suggested would be Beshear and Lunsford--if no candidate was able to obtain at least 40% of the vote. Beshear, however, was able to avoid a runoff with 40.9% (see below).

[edit] Nominees

[edit] Republican

  • Running mate: Robbie Rudolph, State Secretary of Executive Cabinet, 2006-2007; State Secretary of Finance, 2003-2006.

[edit] Democratic

[edit] Candidates who ran and lost in their primary

[edit] Republican

  • Billy Harper - Businessman from West Paducah.
  • Running mate: Dick Wilson.

[edit] Democratic

  • Running mate: Mark Wireman
  • Running Mate: Fayette County Property Valuation Administrator Renee True
  • Otis Hensley - Private contractor from Wallins Creek, Kentucky who received 3% of the vote in the Democratic primary in 2003.
  • Running mate: Richard Robbins
  • Bruce Lunsford - prominent Louisville businessman; unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Kentucky in 2003.

[edit] Withdrawn

[edit] Polling

[edit] Republican Primary

Source Date Fletcher (R) Harper (R) Northup (R)
Survey USA May 18-20, 2007 44% 17% 34%
Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll May 10-15, 2007 41% 10% 26%
Survey USA May 12-14, 2007 44% 14% 34%
Survey USA April 28-30, 2007 46% 14% 34%
Survey USA Mar 31 - Apr 2, 2007 40% 16% 31%
Survey USA Mar 3-5, 2007 33% 13% 31%
Public Opinion Strategies Jan 28-29, 2007 39% 10% 39%

[edit] Democratic Primary

Source Date Beshear (D) Galbraith (D) Henry (D) Hensley (D) Lunsford (D) Richards (D)
Survey USA May 18-20, 2007 32% 7% 17% 1% 23% 12%
Penn, Schoen and Berland May 16-17, 2007 26% N/A 13% N/A 22% 12%
GarinHartYang Research May 14-15, 2007 35% N/A 13% N/A 23% 12%
Survey USA May 12-14, 2007 32% 5% 18% 1% 23% 12%
Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll May 10-14, 2007 27% 4% 13% 1% 21% 7% Miller (D)
Survey USA Apr 28-30, 2007 23% 6% 18% 1% 29% 9% 7%
Mellman Group Apr 19-22, 2007 15% N/A 24% N/A 16% 9% 20%
Survey USA Mar 31 - Apr 2, 2007 15% 8% 20% 1% 20% 12% 8%
Survey USA Mar 3-5, 2007 15% 6% 26% 2% 7% 13% 8%
GarinHartYang Research Feb 20-22, 2007 21% N/A 21% N/A 8% 16% 8%

[edit] General Election

Source Date Beshear (D) Fletcher (R)
Survey USA Nov 2-4, 2007 59% 39%
Rasmussen Reports Nov 1, 2007 54% 39%
Survey USA Oct 27-29, 2007 60% 36%
Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll Oct 26-29, 2007 56% 33%
Research 2000 Oct 22-24, 2007 55% 40%
Survey USA Oct 19-21, 2007 58% 38%
Survey USA Oct 8-9, 2007 56% 40%
Insider Advantage Sep 24-25, 2007 45% 35%
Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll Sep 13-18, 2007 55% 35%
Preston-Osborne Sep 13-17, 2007 51% 36%
Research 2000 Sep 10-13, 2007 56% 39%
Survey USA Sep 8-10, 2007 58% 39%
Survey USA Aug 4-6, 2007 58% 37%
Preston-Osborne Jul 25 - Aug 2, 2007 49% 31%
Survey USA Jul 14-16, 2007 59% 36%
Insider Advantage Jul 8-9, 2007 41% 38%
Rasmussen Reports May 24-25, 2007 51% 35%
Survey USA May 23-24, 2007 62% 34%

[edit] Results

[edit] General Election

Electoral support for candidates, by county
Electoral support for candidates, by county[2]
Electoral support for 2003 candidates for comparison, by county
Electoral support for 2003 candidates for comparison, by county [3]

Fletcher conceded to Beshear at 9:00 PM on November 6.

Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2007
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Steve Beshear 619,553 58.7 +13.75
Republican Ernie Fletcher 435,772 41.3 -13.75
Majority 183,781 17.4
Turnout 1,055,325 37.1
Democratic gain from Republican Swing

[edit] Democratic Primary

Democratic Primary Election, May 22[4]
Candidate Party Votes Percent
Steve Beshear Democratic 142,838 41.02%
Bruce Lunsford Democratic 74,578 21.42%
Steve Henry Democratic 60,893 17.49%
Jody Richards Democratic 45,433 13.05%
Gatewood Galbraith Democratic 20,704 5.95%
Otis Hensley Democratic 3,792 1.09%

[edit] Republican Primary

Republican Primary Election, May 22[5]
Candidate Party Votes Percent
Ernie Fletcher Republican 101,328 50.08%
Anne Northup Republican 73,919 36.53%
Billy Harper Republican 27,092 13.39%

[edit] See also

[edit] References

  1. ^ LEX18 - Lexington, KY - News, Weather, Sports - Fletcher, Beshear To Face Off In Nov
  2. ^ electionresults.ky.gov - View Election Results
  3. ^ http://elect.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/B3BC13F8-C6E6-4E5E-859D-21CDCEB43783/0/county.txt
  4. ^ [1]
  5. ^ [2]

[edit] External links

[edit] Campaign sites

[edit] Major party nominees


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