Climate refugee

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A Climate refugee is a displaced person caused by climate change induced environmental disasters. Such disasters result from both incremental and rapid ecological change and disruption that include increased droughts, desertification, sea level rise, and the more frequent occurrence of extreme weather events such as hurricanes, cyclones, flooding and tornadoes. A statistically significant correlation between environmental degradation including climate change was shown by Afifi and Warner (2007), controlling for the already established major drivers of migration.^{[citation needed]}

Contents 1 Definition 2 First use of the term 3 Predictions 4 The first climate refugees 5 See also 6 External links 7 References

[edit] Definition

There is no set definition of what constitutes a climate refugee, and they are often classified as environmental refugees. Others consider climate refugees as a subcategory of environmental refugees. A paper by Renaud, Bogardi et al. (2007) posed a conceptual framework to understand different categories of people on the move in response to environmental disruptions including climate change. The use of the term "refugee" itself is controversial, the main concern being that use of the term "refugee" for climate or environment-related displacement could detract from those people protected under the 1951 Geneva Convention (which protects political refugees from persecution) (see Dun, Gemenne, and Stojanov 2007 for further discussion). No central tally is kept by the United Nations of either classification. In the World Disasters Report 2001[1] published by the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, more people are now forced to leave their homes because of environmental disasters than war. They estimate approximately 25 million people could currently be classified as being environmental refugees.^{[citation needed]}

[edit] First use of the term

The term "Climate Refugee" (in french, Réfugiés Climatiques) was used for the first time by the photographers/journalists from the Collectif ARGOS, based in Paris, who started their investigations on the subject in 2002. The photos are available on their website.^{[citation needed]}.The construct is build on (first) pubications by Vogt 1946, using the term 'ecological displaced persons'.

[edit] Predictions

Norman Myers of Oxford University has estimated climate change will increase the number of environmental refugees six-fold over the next fifty years to 150 million. Australian climate scientist Dr. Graeme Pearman has predicted that a 2°C rise in temperature would place 100 million people 'directly at risk from coastal flooding' by 2100. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has suggested 150 million environmental refugees would exist by 2050. Because the actual phenomena of climate change affecting human movement has not yet been empirically, systematically addressed, the European Commission funded a research project "Environmental Change and Forced Migration Scenarios (EACH-FOR)" to investigate, measure, and create scenarios for future environmental change. The project undertakes 24 case studies worldwide with a unified methodology, and will report its findings throughout 2008 (www.each-for.eu).^{[citation needed]}

[edit] The first climate refugees

In 2005, half of Bhola Island in Bangladesh became permanently flooded, leaving 500,000 people homeless. The Bhola Islanders have been described as some of the world's first climate refugees^[1]. In 2007, a Bangladeshi scientist stated: "We're already seeing hundreds of thousands of climate refugees moving into slums in Dhaka."^[2] These refugees were fleeing flooded coastal areas.

The inhabitants of the Carteret Islands in Papua New Guinea are also among the first climate refugees due to sea level rise attributed to global warming and climate change^{[3] [4]}. Other inhabitants of low lying islands and Island states, are also at risk. Tuvalu, Kiribati and the Maldives are especially susceptible to changes in sea level and storm surges^{[5] [6] [7]}.

[edit] See also

• Displaced person
• Climate change
• Environmental refugee

[edit] External links

• A Citizens Guide to Climate Refugees. Published by Friends of the Earth Australia, 2005
• Photos from ARGOS photojournalists
• http://www.each-for.eu/ regularly updated information about fieldwork on environmental change and forced migration scenarios
• Providing new homes for climate exiles
• www.starr.tv
• http://www.liser.org/

[edit] References

• Renaud, F., Bogardi, J., Dun, O., Warner, K. (2007) "Control, Adapt, or Flee: How to face environmental migration?" InterSections No. 5/7. United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), Bonn. Available at www.ehs.unu.edu
• Dun, O., Gemenne, F., Stojanov, R. "Environmentally displaced persons: Working Definitions for the EACH-FOR project", paper presented at the International Conference on Migration and Development in Ostrava, Czech Republic on 5 September 2007.
• Afifi, T., Warner, K. 2007 "The Impact of Environmental Degradation on Migration Flows across Countries" UNU-EHS working paper no. 3. Bonn.