Utilisateur:The Shadow Knows/Travaux en cours/Alerte cyclonique

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Une alerte cyclonique est un dispositif de sécurité civile visant à protéger les personnes et les biens menacés par un cyclone tropical en les prévenant de l'imminence de l'irruption des phénomènes les plus violents puis en les informant sur la réalité de leur passage au-dessus des zones concernées.

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Les avertissements

Warnings and watches are two levels of alert issued by national weather forecasting bodies to coastal areas threatened by the imminent approach of a tropical cyclone of tropical storm or hurricane intensity.

They are notices to the local population and civil authorities to make appropriate preparation for the cyclone, including evacuation of vulnerable areas where necessary. It is important that interests throughout the area of an alert make preparations to protect life and property, and do not disregard it on the strength of the detailed forecast track. Tropical cyclones are not points, and forecasting their track remains an uncertain science.

[modifier] North Atlantic systems

The following terminology used by the US National Hurricane Center is the model for countries around the North Atlantic and in the Caribbean basin (except Cuba, see regional notes). This is also used for the Pacific coasts of Mexico, Central America, southern California, and Hawaii.

[modifier] Tropical storms

Before the 1987 Atlantic hurricane season, tropical storm alerts were described as Gale Watches / Warnings, not distinguished from non-tropical storms.

[modifier] Tropical Storm Watch

A tropical storm watch (TRA) is issued when tropical storm conditions, including winds from 39 to 73 mph (35 to 64 knots, 63 to 117 km/h) pose a possible threat to a specified coastal area within 36 hours. Maritime flags indicate this with a single square red flag.

[modifier] Tropical Storm Warning

A tropical storm warning (TRW) is issued when tropical storm conditions (as above) are expected in a specified coastal area within 24 hours or less. Maritime flags indicate this with two square red flags.

[modifier] Hurricanes

[modifier] Hurricane Watch

A hurricane watch (HWA) is issued for a specified area for which a hurricane or a hurricane-related hazard is a possible threat within 36 hours. Maritime flags indicate this with a single square red flag with a black square in the middle.

[modifier] Hurricane Warning

A hurricane warning (HWW) is issued when a hurricane with sustained winds of 74 mph (65 knots, 118 km/h) or higher is expected in a specified coastal area in 24 hours or less. Maritime flags indicate this with two square red flags with a black square in the middle of each.

A hurricane warning can remain in effect when dangerously high water or a combination of dangerously high water and exceptionally high waves continues, even though the winds may have subsided below hurricane intensity.

Where the intensity or track of a forecast cyclone are uncertain (such as a tropical storm bordering hurricane intensity or on the edge of a track), a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are often in effect at the same time on parts of the coast. Maritime flags indicate this with two square red flags with a black square in the middle on only one of them.

[modifier] Inland advisories

The following alerts are issued for inland areas that may see tropical storm or hurricane force wind and/or rain conditions, but are not located along the coast. These started appearing in the 2000s, originally with the word "Wind" inserted before the "Watch" or "Warning", which was dropped for 2005. All appear to be issued with an Emergency Alert System event codes HWA and HWW, used for high wind watches and warnings, though they may now be under the same codes and regular tropical cyclone advisories. Previously, standard High Wind Warnings and Watches were issued (which imply tropical storm force or stronger).

[modifier] Inland Tropical Storm Watch

Issued for inland areas when sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph (62 to 117 km/h) associated with a tropical storm are anticipated beyond the coastal areas though the actual occurrence, timing and location are still uncertain.

[modifier] Inland Tropical Storm Warning

Issued for inland counties when tropical storm conditions are anticipated beyond the coastal areas in the next six to twelve hours.

[modifier] Inland Hurricane Watch

Issued for inland counties that sustained winds of 74 mph (118 km/h) or greater associated with a hurricane are anticipated beyond the coastal areas though the actual occurrence, timing and location are still uncertain.

[modifier] Inland Hurricane Warning

Issued for inland counties that sustained hurricane force winds are anticipated beyond the coastal areas in the next six to twelve hours.

[modifier] Other advisories

Other advisories are also commonly issued in association with tropical cyclones, but are not specific to them. Tropical cyclones often produce tornadoes, prompting the issuing of severe thunderstorm and tornado watches and warnings. A wind advisory would be issued for inland wind conditions (either at the extreme edges of the storm or far inland) that are strong (at least 25 mph/40 km/h) but sustained below tropical storm force. Heavy rains associated with tropical systems often result in flood watches and warnings. Gale warnings are typically issued for coastal areas surrounding the storm but where it is unlikely to travel. Still lighter winds at the extreme fringes carry a small craft advisory.

[modifier] Regional notes

Before the 2004 Atlantic hurricane season, these warnings were not issued in Canada (who simply issued standard wind and rain warnings, which are now issued alongside the NHC-standard warnings). That policy was changed due to the lack of warning from four storms in 2003 that affected different land and offshore areas of Canada, the worst of which was Hurricane Juan in Nova Scotia. The inland watches and warnings are not differentiated from the coastal watches and warnings in Canada; the hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings can be issued for any forecast area.

In Cuba, warnings are issued by Cuban province, not by coastal location or breakpoints. There are no differentials between coastal and inland warnings there as they are automatically issued for both types of areas.

[modifier] West Pacific systems

[modifier] Pearl River Delta

Main article: Hong Kong Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals

The Pearl River Delta uses a variety of warning systems to inform the public regarding the risks of tropical cyclones to the area. The Hong Kong Observatory issues typhoon signals to indicate the existence and approximate location of a tropical cyclone from Hong Kong. The Direcção dos Serviços Meteorológicos e Geofisicos in Macau uses a similar system.

[modifier] China

A two-stage warning system was long-established in China for tropical cyclones of tropical storm intensity of above.^[1]

• Warning: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 8 or rainstorm may occur in 48 hours.
• Urgent Warning: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 8 or rainstorm may occur in 24 hours.

Nowadays, the use of this system is restricted to coastal waters only. Thus, similar to the US system, warnings may be discontinued even the cyclone is maintaining tropical storm intensity inland. However, color-coded alerts (mentioned below) may be in effect.

Guangdong introduced a color-coded tropical cyclone warning system for land use in 2000.^[2](no longer in use)

• White alert: A tropical cyclone may affect the area in 48 hours.
• Green alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 6 in 24 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 6~7 is already blowing.
• Yellow alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 8 in 12 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 8~9 (gale force) is already blowing.
• Red alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 10 in 12 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 10~11 (storm force) is already blowing.
• Black alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 12 in 12 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 12 (hurricane force) is already blowing.

Similar systems were developed in Fujian and Shanghai. Later, China Meteorological Administration standardized the system for national use.^[3]

• Blue alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 6 in 24 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 6~7 is already blowing.
• Yellow alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 8 in 24 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 8~9 (gale force) is already blowing.
• Orange alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 10 in 12 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 10~11 (storm force) is already blowing.
• Red alert: Winds may reach Beaufort Force 12 in 6 hours or winds of Beaufort Force 12 (hurricane force) is already blowing.

Note that Guangdong maintained a white alert as in the old system.

[modifier] Liens internes

• Alerte météorologique
• Cyclone tropical

[modifier] Liens externes

• Veilles et avertissements du National Hurricane Ccenter